live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog



Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Arkansas Little Rock

Conference:SB
Expected RPI:42.0
Current RPI:42
Expected SOS:233
Current Record:27-4
Expected Record:27-4
Current Conf Record:19-3
Expected Conf Record:19-3
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:100.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:3-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:9-0
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:14-2
Current OOC Record:8-1
Expected OOC Record:8-1
Expected OOC RPI:48
Expected OOC SOS:277


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
27-487.10%42.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Arkansas Little Rock.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-21San Diego St. (41.0)MWCA43-49W100%0.0
11-26East Carolina (217.0)AmerN46-54W100%0.0
11-28Tulsa (58.0)AmerA60-64W100%0.0
12-1Central Arkansas (339.0)SlndH79-73W100%0.0
12-5Idaho (191.0)BSkyA54-64W100%0.0
12-12DePaul (198.0)BEA44-66W100%0.0
12-16Central Arkansas (339.0)SlndA54-77W100%0.0
12-20Northern Arizona (333.0)BSkyH84-57W100%0.0
12-22Texas Tech (36.0)B12A65-53L0%0.0
12-30South Alabama (240.0)SBA60-69W100%0.0
1-2Troy (293.0)SBA61-67W100%0.0
1-7Louisiana Lafayette (157.0)SBH77-57W100%0.0
1-9Louisiana Monroe (95.0)SBH58-57W100%0.0
1-14Appalachian St. (259.0)SBH81-55W100%0.0
1-18Arkansas St. (285.0)SBA76-73L0%0.0
1-21Texas St. (238.0)SBA74-77W100%0.0
1-23UT Arlington (105.0)SBA62-68W100%0.0
1-28Georgia Southern (243.0)SBH80-67W100%0.0
1-30Georgia St. (180.0)SBH63-53W100%0.0
2-4Troy (293.0)SBH72-49W100%0.0
2-6South Alabama (240.0)SBH74-43W100%0.0
2-11Louisiana Monroe (95.0)SBA86-82L0%0.0
2-13Louisiana Lafayette (157.0)SBA64-68W100%0.0
2-18Georgia St. (180.0)SBA49-57W100%0.0
2-20Georgia Southern (243.0)SBA61-75W100%0.0
2-25UT Arlington (105.0)SBH72-60W100%0.0
2-27Texas St. (238.0)SBH73-68W100%0.0
3-1Arkansas St. (285.0)SBH89-80W100%0.0
3-3Appalachian St. (259.0)SBA69-63L0%0.0
3-12Louisiana Lafayette (157.0)SBN72-65W100%0.0
3-13Louisiana Monroe (95.0)SBN70-50W100%0.0